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Fiscal Rules and Discretion under Self-Enforcement -- by Marina Halac, Pierre...

We study a fiscal policy model in which the government is present-biased towards public spending. Society chooses a fiscal rule to trade off the benefit of committing the government to not overspend...

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Richard Thaler wins 2017 Nobel prize in economics â as it happened

Richard Thaler wins 2017 Nobel prize in economicshttps://t.co/1zTCNDOCwY — moneyscience (@moneyscience) October 9, 2017

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Resolution of non-performing loans - policy options

Resolution of non-performing loans - policy options, FSI insights No 3, 9 October 2017

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Weekly Top 5 Papers â October 9th, 2017

1. Health Services as Credence Goods: A Field Experiment by Felix Gottschalk, Wanda Mimra and Christian Waibel (ETH Zurich – CER-ETH – Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich)read more...

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The Nobel Prize on Twitter

BREAKING NEWS The 2017 Prize in Economic Sciences is awarded to Richard H. Thaler @R_Thaler @UChicago @ChicagoBooth #NobelPrize…

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Behavioral Finance -- Asset Prices Predictability, Equity Premium Puzzle,...

In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as anomalies the theory of rational finance cannot explain: Predictability of asset...

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Behavioral Finance Option Pricing Formulas Consistent with Rational Dynamic...

We derive behavioral finance option pricing formulas consistent with the rational dynamic asset pricing theory. In the existing behavioral finance option pricing formulas, the price process of the...

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Counterparty Trading Limits Revisited:CSAs, IM, SwapAgent(r), from PFE to...

The utility of Potential Future Exposure (PFE) for counterparty trading limits is being challenged by new market developments, notably widespread regulatory Initial Margin (using 99% 10-day exposure),...

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Short Maturity Forward Start Asian Options in Local Volatility Models....

We study the short maturity asymptotics for prices of forward start Asian options under the assumption that the underlying asset follows a local volatility model. We obtain asymptotics for the cases of...

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Robust Forecast Aggregation. (arXiv:1710.02838v1 [q-fin.EC])

Bayesian experts with a common prior who are exposed to different evidence often make contradictory probabilistic forecasts. An aggregator who receives the forecasts must aggregate them in the best way...

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An Optimized Microeconomic Modeling System for Analyzing Industrial...

In this paper, we provide an integrated systems modeling approach to analyzing global externalities from a microeconomic perspective. Various forms of policy (fiscal, monetary, etc.) have addressed...

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Double Functional Median in Robust Prediction of Hierarchical Functional Time...

In this article, a new nonparametric and robust method of forecasting hierarchical functional time series is presented. The method is compared with Hyndman and Shang's method with respect to their...

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Smart Girls Screw Up Too: The No-Nonsense Guide to Creating The Life You Want

Own your screw ups, get inspired and create the life you want.read more...

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Risk weight for Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision is releasing the newsletter no 20 on "Risk weight for Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank", October 2017.

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Insurance supervisory strategies for a low interest rate environment

Insurance supervisory strategies for a low interest rate environment, FSI insights No 4, 10 October 2017

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Behavioural Finance, Applied: Centapse and Oxford Risk announce new partnership

Applied Behavioural Finance: Oxford Risk And Centapse Are Excited To Announce A New Partnership - https://t.co/BqGf9eJMUO — Centapse (@Centapse) October 10,…

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Feedback's Impact on Innovation: A Key Tradeoff

Harvard Business School Professor Daniel Gross has a very intriguing new product development research article forthcoming in the Rand Journal of Economics.   Gross studied the impact of feedback on...

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Federal Court Enters More than $2 Million Judgment against Grand Island,...

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced that the Honorable Joan B. Gottschall of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois entered a Final Judgment and Order...

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CFTC Finds that Proprietary Trading Firm Arab Global Commodities DMCC Engaged...

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued an Order filing and settling charges against Arab Global Commodities DMCC, a proprietary trading firm headquartered in Dubai, with several trading...

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Market impact with multi-timescale liquidity. (arXiv:1710.03734v1 [q-fin.TR])

We present an extended version of the recently proposed "LLOB" model for the dynamics of latent liquidity in financial markets. By allowing for finite cancellation and deposition rates within a...

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